You know, the models are good. They certainly help with track and intensity. But there is something to be said for experts who have watched
these storms for years and know the trends. A "person" who knows the tropics might pick up on and recognize things before the models pick
up on it. Take for instance, Felix. The NHC kept mentioning him in its tropical update even though the models gave him no support.
That's one you could just look at on the satellite view and say "hey, there is a chance there". Models just aren't good enough yet, and people
have brains that actually "think". So, while the models are an excellent tool it takes the people who know these storms,
like those at the NHC, to bring all the information together to come up with a reliable forecast.