allan
(Weather Master)
Sun Sep 02 2007 09:03 PM
Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia

Quote:

I thought this was interesting in the 5pm NHC disccusion.


"THIS CORRESPONDS TO A FALL IN CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
A RATE OF 3.4 MB PER HOUR OVER THE PAST 7 HOURS OR SO...WHICH IS
ONE OF THE MORE RAPID DEEPENING RATES WE HAVE OBSERVED. "

Can someone remember a recent hurricane strengthening as quickly or with a similar rate of pressure drop?




2 years ago a Hurricane formed from a depression to category 5 in one night! The hurricane not only became a category 5, but became the most intense hurricane on record. Hurricane Wilma formed in October of 2005. That my friend is your answer.
Now Felix is a strong system, I wouldn't be surprised if Durinal Max made this a nice category 5 in the morning.
The area off my coastline has a good chace at forming.. so the CMC shows a 1938 Hurricane scenario.. most likely NOT happening but it is a possibility. Though a strong TS is not out of the realm.

Not quite. It went from a strong tropical storm to a category 4 hurricane in 24hr; from a weak hurricane to the most intense storm in a different 24hr period. -Clark



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