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Frankly, im not surprised that Felix is Cat. 4... recalling dean-there was a warm eddy south of hispanola that dean clipped-Felix passed very near/OVER this eddy (I have an image of the Aug. 16 carib sea water map in the attachment-If anyone can show me a link to the most recent images so i can bookmark the page, it would be greatly appreciated!) If the latest recon (Extreme turbulence in NE eyewall, max sur. wind 163kt!-not sure that this is completely about this though)/dropsonde info is indeed correct-and Felix is continuing to strengthen, I would think we could have yet another Cat V monster (if an ERC does not take place) later tonight Update-Wunderground has felix as 145kt monster... Officially Cat 5! And from the NHC Discussion: "BECAUSE OF THE EXTREME TURBULENCE AND GROUPEL THAT THE AIRCRAFT EXPERIENCED...THE MISSION IS BEING ABORTED AND THE AIRCRAFT IS RETURNING TO ST. CROIX." I've never heard of a mission being aborted-is this the first time? I believe in Wilma they climbed higher to lessen turbulence-but was it aborted? The CDO is extremely symmetrical when viewed on satellite, IMO, Dvorak shows it best. Finally, I a mistake from the E. Pac. TWO: "THE REMNANT LOW OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL IS LOCATED ABOUT 925 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. REGENERATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED." Gil=remnant low forecast to dissipate-lol. |