I agree Tampa. This is a fairly strong vortex and once shear lessens, it should strengthen in short order (if shear lessens). I also believe that its reached its furthest east position now, and should begin a more westerly movement during late afternoon or tonight. This will be fun to watch, since models have shifted a bit to the left (even the 12Z NAM) and may be a sign that the ridge will stay entrenched over the east coast longer than anticipated last night. The EC and NOGAPS have this as a SC or GA hit. They initialized it a bit further west, but that may be negated by the fact that its a bit further south, and may actually drift a bit south while making the turn westward. Hopefully, the SE will get some much needed rain out of this without too much wind. Cheers!!