cieldumort
(Moderator)
Fri Sep 07 2007 05:47 PM
Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching

Eh. Just because the winds would support classification as a tropical storm does not mean that such winds are truly representative of the incipient cyclone. Nonetheless, it is purely a judgment call from the learned folks in Miami.

Recon has now just found surface winds of 35 knots out of the ESE at 30.4 N 70.5 W. With recon not yet finding a "well-defined" center of circulation, it seems more likely to me that there are two lows competing with each other just a little bit too much just yet to close either one of them off, but, "this could happen at any time," and we would likely have ourselves Gabrielle.. but possibly a bit more subtropical, initially at least, even if NHC goes with the "tropical" moniker.



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