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91L looks better today then it did yesterday. It looked like scattered convection yesterday, today, it manages a Tropical Depression structure... all it needs is more convection, which it looks like it is poping up a burst near the center. I expect formation to a TD either late tonight or tommorrow. Other than that, the GOM bears watching, a strong cold front drapes north of the Carribean blocking any fish storms.. which means 91L is likely to get very close to the USA, but it could recurve out to sea after slamming the bahamasand just before reaching Florida. Way too early to tell but if you count the strong fronts coming in now, the Carolinas, northward are safe. |