Rainfall is already over 6" in some of coastal Jefferson County, TX. I'm interested to see if the system is moving N @ 6mph (+/-350 on the 10am advisory). Additional time over water, though not necessarily allowing for any marked strengthening, could allow for some piling up rainfall rates in the Golden Triangle (Orange, Beaumont, Port Arthur) area and into Lake Charles. There's a giant swath of moisture on the eastern side of the system which could mean close to a foot in some sections of coastal SW LA (talking Cameron, Vermillion and Iberia Parishes). Those areas and coastal SE Texas have hurricane local statements up on the Lake Charles NWS Homepage.

My call is for a +/- 50mph Tropical Storm to landfall east of High Island, Texas. What happens after that is anyone's guess. Some possibilities include splitting of the upper and lower cirulations with the upper support heading off NE with the front and lower moisture backing off SW with the trough split to a slow moving system heading up toward northern Mississippi with lots of Gulf moisture out front of it.

Steve