| Hugh |
| (Senior Storm Chaser) |
| Thu Sep 13 2007 03:35 AM |
Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean
|
The GFDL and BAMM projections - particularly the BAMM - are just too horrific to think about. Nonetheless, the fact that the NHC thinks enough of the model outputs to fairly significantly change the forecast (stalling out much closer to the coast)... says alot. They should not just be thrown out as outliers. Time will tell, but I think the forecast is still a bit too far left.