danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Thu Sep 13 2007 05:14 AM
Re: Humberto Upgrade???

Double checking the data. RECON flew into the Center from due East.
The max flight level wind, posted above, of 77 knots was 10nm east of the Center.
Max SFMR estimated surface winds were 70 knots-80mph at 8 nm east of the Center.

Using the NHC flight level to surface reduction for 850mb flight-5000ft of 80%.
SFMR would be near 74mph.
Max flight level wind would be near 80 mph surface wind speed.

These are my quick, estimates. We will have to wait on the next Advisory from NHC/ TPC.



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