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For the record, there was at least one more recon after the last one posted. It's now a couple hours old, but still relevant given that it has 986mb. It looks like this central pressure was based on a 989mb dropsonde with 17kt winds, so they lowered it 3mb because they didn't hit the center. 5am NHC report also says: "WIND OF 98 KT WAS REPORTED EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...OR AROUND 75 KNOTS AT THE SURFACE...AND A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 986 MB." This means that the pressure fell another 3mb AFTER it crossed the coast, and the wind speeds jumped another 10kts! I went to bed and this was a TS with 998mb pressure and I wake up with a hurricane over land. I suspect this is going to be one storm that will be heavily analyzed given that it was within land based radar for almost it's entire development. This means they have a rare case where they have near complete lifetime radar imagery they can reference to see how it developed. ---- 3 hours old: 971 URNT12 KNHC 130705 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092007 A. 13/06:52:00Z B. 29 deg 32 min N 094 deg 21 min W C. 850 mb 1308 m D. 68 kt E. 214 deg 4 nm F. 290 deg 065 kt G. 208 deg 004 nm H. 986 mb I. 17 C/ 1525 m J. 27 C/ 1499 m K. 0 C/ NA L. OPEN WSW M. C17 N. 12345/8 O. 0.02 / NA nm P. AF306 0309A HUMBERTO OB 15 MAX FL WIND 78 KT E QUAD 06:02:20 Z RAGGED EYEWALL MET ACCURACY 1NM |