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This is a great example that we still have limits to our ability to forecast just what nature will do. In following these posts, storms like this point out the dangers of minimizing a storm as just a TS or Cat 1, etc. It causes people reading they to also minimize the possible effects. "Just a heavy rain event" can be just as catastrophic/deadly as high winds and surge. I just completed a year and a half in the New Orleans EOC and can tell you that it takes over 72 hours to implement the old evac plan and even longer to get out those with mobility challenges... Weigh that against the accuracy of models 3-5 days out ans you can see the problem... |