Quote:
From the NHC 11:00 forecast discussion:
BASED ON OPERATIONAL ESTIMATES...HUMBERTO STRENGTHENED FROM A 30 KT DEPRESSION AT 15Z YESTERDAY TO A 75 KT HURRICANE AT 09Z THIS MORNING...AN INCREASE OF 45 KT IN 18 HOURS. TO PUT THIS DEVELOPMENT IN PERSPECTIVE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE HISTORICAL RECORD HAS EVER REACHED THIS INTENSITY AT A FASTER RATE NEAR LANDFALL. IT WOULD BE NICE TO KNOW...SOMEDAY...WHY THIS HAPPENED.
Could be due to very warm water and little shear. It is amazing that this thing went from a TD to a Cat. 1 in 14 hours or so. With this thing in radar range you could see it develop and then get that eye wall. We knew if the eye wall closed off that this thing could go to a Hurricane. Thankfully it wasn't out in the middle of the GOM like Opal did in 1995.
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