Timing is the key to if Ingrid threatens the USA whether it be TD or TS.. IF the storm in the Craribean developes and hit's Florida, Ingrid will stall as it can't head east or west with high to the east and low to the west. If the storm does not form OR if it heads west, Ingrid heads west to the USA. Shear will continue to rip Ingrid for 2 days, Monday, a new day has begun and shear will only be at 15 knots. Models like NOGAPS, HRMF, and UKMET point out that it could make a comeback that day. I agree, this year, all the storms have surprised us.. Ingrid can't move north of Bermuda do to a strong ridge, it could move east then west and sort of loop around till the high weakens, basically what the GFS points out. I expected this to be a TD at 11 a.m., didn't think it would hold it's status this far out in 30-35 knots of shear, yet we should remember Barry. All of the east Coast should watch Ingrid, but not worry. Ingrid is a tough little gal, if Irene (2005) survived the devestating shear, so can Ingrid!