CDMOrlando
(Weather Hobbyist)
Sun Sep 16 2007 01:52 PM
Re: Models Showing Tropical Cyclone Later This Week

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
133 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2007

THE EARLY PRELIM FCST MAINTAINS YDAYS FINAL FCST THAT EMPHASIZED POTENTIAL FOR A WEAK FEATURE TO TRACK FROM THE NWRN CARIBBEAN INTO THE SERN GULF. CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW WITH HOW WELL DEFINED THE SFC REFLECTION WILL BE IN ASSOC WITH THE MID LVL ENERGY FCST TO RETROGRADE FROM THE EXTREME SERN CONUS/ERN GULF OF MEXICO. CURRENT DEPICTION STILL PLAYS ON AN NWWD MOVING DISTURBANCE FROM OFF THE CENTRAL AMERICAN COAST THRU THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND NWD TOWARDS THE LA/TX COAST