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7:12pm edt, September 18 2007 Update: The wave off the Florida coast has been organizing a bit in the day and may have the chance to become a depression (tropical or perhaps subtropical) in the next day or so, but likely not until it crosses into the Gulf of Mexico. We'll be watching it. At the least, a good deal of rain for Florida is likely tomorrow. Conditions in the Gulf of Mexico favor development, but not rapid development. More to come as it happens. ![]() To discuss, we have the post in the Forecast Lounge, for guesses at suggestions about what the storm may do Also, for reporting right now conditions in your area or anything locally noteworthy about the system, here. Joe Bastardi Video on this wave 12:45pm, September 18 2007 Update: Invest 93L just declared near 25.8N 79.2W, or approximately 70 nautical miles E of Miami Florida. Current conditions appear marginally favorable for further development of this system. Persons in Florida need to carefully monitor the progress of this potential development. Early guidance indicators are for intensification as the deep layer wind analysis appears to be improving toward favorable development parameters. More to come.... TT ********************************************************* There are no storms being tracked right now, and no "invest" areas, but there are a few areas of interest in the Tropics. First, Ingrid dissipated yesterday and the remnants remain northeast of the Caribbean, conditions there are not likely to do much with the system. So odds are it won't redevelop. Another wave east of the Caribbean may do something later, but it's not looking all that great either. ![]() Finally a lot of energy has moved into the Bahamas, and is tracking west. Not enough time to really develop before getting into Florida, but it may eventually track into the Gulf and form into something there. So folks from Florida to Texas will want to watch that area. There will likely be a lot of shear in the Western Gulf by the time that system would reach that way, so too intense of development is unlikely, but still storms in the Gulf can be quite unpredictable at times intensity wise. Worth watching at least. It will likely make a very rainy day here in Florida, however. {{StormCarib}} Radar Loops {{radarlink|mlb|Melbourne FL}} {{radarlink|jax|Jacksonville FL}} {{radarlink|amx|Miami, FL}} {{radarlink|tba|Tampa Bay, FL}} {{StormLinks|93L|93|10|2007|1|93L (East of Florida Wave)}} {{StormLinks|Ingrid|08|8|2007|2|Ingrid}} |