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Re: Ingrid I am not positive, but if there remained an identifiable vortex perhaps the re_naming is automatic; but where as here the vortex seems to be opened in to a wave, it is discretionary if it regenerates as to how to name it. The wave still exists and is still trying to fire convection, and technically it is remenants of Ingrid. Once the shear lessens will it regeneragte? I would guess 15-20% on that. Things closer to Florida are getting mopre interesting. Of radar is used it is possible to begin to detect a circulation between Andros and Freeport almost due east of Bimini. However the situation is complicated because the mid-upper low is tumbling to the WSW. Development is probable according to many models, but not for two days and then in the E GOM...However, I will be closely watching how the suspicious area in the Bahamas begins to attract convection over the next several hours, or not. EDS |