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Shear has dramatically decreased where 93L is located.. 30 knots all the way down to 10-15 knots. This should allow some intensification, though it should be slow to occur, sort of the response I expect to see on the next TWO. There's been some discussion on the wunderground blogs on how strong it will get, nobody will know until it developes. the 12zGFS is now showing a 1008 mlb storm in the GOM, though the same was with Felix, even after it was a major Hurricane. We'll see what happens, can't wait to see the GFDL and HRMF. here is the new, updated cimms shear map ![]() http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.html |