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Those winds are entirely believable. I tell ya', this is simply an example of an unorthodox subtropical depression (and quite possibly even better very soon). NRL now has 93 up at 30 knots and 1004mb. I'm betting this is about right, and I'm betting that we are now at the precipice of No Name, if not Jerry. While on the subject of features on precipices, now by all appearances a healthy mid-level low with some DEEP convection has indeed formed in the Caribbean, off the coast of Nicaragua. If this persists much longer I would anticipate it getting tagged soon. I suspect that at least early on the general direction this possible Invest would most likely take is northward, as it would likely be tugged this way from the troffiness of 93L and 93s parent ULL. |