Please provide links to UPGRADES or run the risk of having the post DELETED.
However... Using the last VORTEX message. And NHC's previous protocol.
The Last Vortex message-below. Indicates the high probablility of TD 10 being a Tropical Storm at the next Advisory.

Warm Core temperatures.
Max Flight level wind of 47kts in SE Quadrant.
Estimated surface wind of 40 knots. (39 knots is Tropical Storm threshhold-please correct me if I'm wrong)

A. 21/16:23:00Z
B. 29 deg 34 min N
085 deg 45 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 40 kt
E. NA deg 86 nm
F. 164 deg 037 kt
G. 088 deg 072 nm
H. EXTRAP 1006 mb
I. 22 C/ 462 m
J. 22 C/ 457 m
K. 21 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134/1
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF303 04IIA INVEST OB 19
MAX FL WIND 47 KT SE QUAD 15:34:40 Z
MAX FL TEMP 23 C, 88 / 70NM
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.