8AM EDT Update 29 September 2007
Tropical Depression #14 becomes Tropical Storm Melissa, with 40MPH winds. It is expected to turn north eventually and out to sea, it, much like Karen, will enter high shear in a few days which may weaken or dissipate it.

Karen is also undergoing heavy shear, and it's looking more like a tropical wave than a tropical storm this morning. There is a good chance Karen will be considered gone, open up back into an open wave. Two low level circulation centers can be seen on visible satellite imagry. It is very likely Karen has already fallen below depression status.

Conditions improve in a day or so, however.

Original Update
Tropical Depression 14 has formed in the far east Atlantic, from what was a short lived invest 99L that formed this morning. Likely out to sea. More to come on this soon.

Advisories for TD#14 should begin at 11AM EDT.

Hurricane Lorenzo made landfall this morning along the coast of Mexico.

Karen has weakened and may weaken more, it is still most likely to head out to sea, but there are some interesting things going on with it.

More to come soon....

Southeast Composite Radar
{{radarlink|amx|Miami, FL}}
{{radarlink|byx|Key West, FL}}
{{radarlink|mlb|Melbourne, FL}}
{{StormCarib}}
{{StormLinks|Karen|12|12|2007|1|Karen}}
{{StormLinks|Melissa|14|14|2007|2|Melissa}}