scottsvb
(Weather Master)
Fri Sep 28 2007 02:02 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Far East Atlantic, Lorenzo Makes Landfall

reason she went NNE is cause a passing weak shortwave went by. with her moving inline with the shear in the mid-levels she got into a brief less hospitable shear. She should resume a WNW direction. Difficult to see if she will survive the shear...she needs to get past 65W by Monday...shear will start to decrease and she might be a threat..but if she pulses and maintains some sort of organization..she might get pulled more N and then NE with the trough but not as a hurricane..just as a organized weak TS sheared system..(like now). Time will tell.

Area that is forecasted to form over the southern Bahamas will be simular to TD 13..more in the mid and upper levels and a weak LLC.....it could become a TS but simular to 13....hard to tell if anything at all.



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center