MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Sun Sep 30 2007 02:31 PM
Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida

October 1st Update 6:40PM EDT
Karen and Melissa are no more, but we are watching a disturbance off the coast of Florida that may develop into something subtropical over the next day or so. The winds are more from the pressure gradient, but the rains around the area have some influence from this disturbance.

The disturbance is now being tracked as 90L, you can let us know conditions in your area here.

Original Update
Tropical Storm Karen has dissipated, ripped apart by shear, but is holding the remnant low still. If shear abates it is possible for the system to regenerate, we'll be continuing to watch it since storms that weaken this much tend to drift more westward. Chances are still greatest that it will turn out to sea before it approaches land, however.



An area east of Florida is worth watching over the next few days for development, nothing entirely to imminent now, however. You can find more discussion on this, here.

The pressure gradient between these systems and the northwest is what is creating the winds along parts of Florida, not this system itself.

Melissa is holding is a minimal tropical storm, and is going to be affected by shear much like Ingrid and Karen were, it should not affect land.

Southeast Composite Radar
{{radarlink|amx|Miami, FL}}
{{radarlink|byx|Key West, FL}}
{{radarlink|mlb|Melbourne, FL}}
{{StormCarib}}
{{StormLinks|92L|92|16|2007|2|92L (Bahamas Wave)}}
{{StormLinks|91L|91|17|2007|3|91L}}
{{StormLinks|Melissa|14|14|2007|4|Melissa Remnants}}
{{StormLinks|90L|90|15|2007|1|90 (Gulf Wave)}}



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