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Miami NWS... ..."STILL WATCHING A WEAK LOW OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST SOUTHWEST THROUGH TONIGHT AS A LOW OR AN INVERTED TROUGH. GFS40 HAS THIS LOW OVER THE FLORIDA BAY BY 12Z TUESDAY AND THEN THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENGE SHUTS DOWN WITH WINDS VEERING TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SPEEDS DRASTICALLY REDUCED." 11:30 TWD Monday ..."AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW...A DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY...AND A WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ARE PRODUCING SQUALLY WEATHER OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA...THE BAHAMAS...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT... PERHAPS OF A SUBTROPICAL NATURE...IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. " CMC is still going a little strong with this area....and most globals are still trying to develope something a in the SE GOM in the coming days from this area.... Something to watch... and wait and see.... the trough looks to be backing up some now... conditions are looking to becoming more favorable... |