weathernet
(Storm Tracker)
Thu Oct 04 2007 10:10 PM
Re: 92L

I believe that the earlier noted low level swirl slowly moving westward towards S. Florida, was the "embrionic stage" that the northerly shear was quick to seperate. The area of the elongated trough, south of Cuba, though limited in convection, does show a little more rotation, as well as better parked under the middle of the upper high. Hmmmm, perhaps GFS has had a pretty good read on this system after all. Any significant development of the area in the Bahamas will at minimum seem to be an uphill battle.

As for any other systems, or remnants of other systems, or even 2nd cousin twice removed remnants of previous ghosts of earlier systems, I think that we may soon be moving to that part of the season where a much smaller window will exist for significant tropical systems to develop. Of course, that may not bode well for some of us, as systems stew and propogate up from the W. Caribb. over the next 6 weeks, but at least the current status quo no longer looks to be "that" threat, at least not at the moment.



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