cieldumort
(Moderator)
Fri Oct 19 2007 09:09 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October

In addition to 2007 continuing the '06 tradition of shear, albeit to a lesser extent, I suspect 2007 has had perhaps a somewhat higher than usual number of systems form very close to land, thereby limiting their development (certainly both Humberto and Lorenzo were racing full speed towards a Charley-esque status, but that they came inland too soon having formed so close to shore prevent as much). And perhaps yet another interesting feature of 2007-to-date has been a larger percentage of higher-latitude systems, that as such more rapidly entered an unfavorable shear zone.

Perhaps what I found to be the most interesting landfall of the season-to-date was TS Erin. What an amazing reformation that occurred with her once well-inland! "Landcane."

Looking ahead as we are, it seems likely to get another name or two before the season is up, but it's darn hard to pick out a favorite area going into the remainder of the month. Perhaps one of the waves traversing the central Atlantic right now pulls together a bit better over the weekend. Some intermittent model support for growing something along the tail end of the cold front now draped SW-NE across the GOM. Looks possible. Perhaps another high-lat hybrid something or other. The big picture right now across the CONUS and into the western Atlantic looks a lot more like mid-late November, however.



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center