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90L has had a very well-defined surface/low level circulation for a few days now. Unfortunately, QuikSCAT missed it this morning, but, there is enough data coming in this afternoon to prompt NHC to give it some rather high marks in this evening's TWO 530 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2007 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND SURFACE PRESSURES ARE FALLING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED JUST NORTHEAST OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GENERALLY UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION INTO THE CARIBBEAN SEA IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS...WHICH WOULD BRING SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA. |