danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Mon Oct 29 2007 02:13 AM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic

Were are all lost. So to speak.

I'm in agreement with Lane on the movement. Appears to be moving due North. Based on the Funktop enhancement loop. And others.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-ft.html
90 minutes of motion are showing the northern edge of the mid level clouds moving due north and approaching the Northern Coast of the Dominican Republic and the Border with Haiti.

If this is a northward track. It would further exacerbate the already occuring floods and mudslides. I based my previous comment on the system moving toward the west.
Normally.... The steep mountainous terrain of the Greater Antilles, and to some degree the Lesser Antilles acts as a barrier to Tropical system wind fields and has been known to tear apart a well organized Tropical Storm or Hurricane.
The other side of that coin is the Orographic lifting of extremely tropical moisture.
Residents of the SE US have seen tropical moisture over the last two weeks. New Orleans... received better than 9 inches in some areas, in less than 8 hours.



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