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I just saw the Advisory with the 999mb and 55kts. Those two numbers bother me. Maximum pressure- wind for 999mb is 76mph. So there is some potential for Noel to intensify. About 4 hours until sunrise in that area. Better sat shots and we'll know then if the sun is going to assist in the intensification. This storm has a tenacious vortex/ center of circulation as evidenced by it's staying together after passing over the island of the Dominican Republic and Haiti. The mountainous terrain on that island usually knocks a great deal of energy out of a tropical system. Keep an eye on this storm The other phrase that caught my Attention was: AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. INTEREST IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NOEL. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR SOUTHEAST FLORIDA LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. |