Somewhat significant changes with the 5AM

5AM from NHC now calling for Noel to become a hurricane Wednesday morning-ish, and prior to pulling away from Florida. However, at this time the official forecast anticipates _no_ winds of sustained hurricane force in Noel's western semicircle:

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 24.5N 78.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 50SW 75NW.

And the other change:

CUBAN RADARS INDICATE THAT NOEL HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD OR 280
DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS

Still, the official forecast track begins that sharp recurvature out to sea in about 36 hours, and has Noel quickly undergo ET thereafter.