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The sat. and radar signatures are really not clear because the system is weak; but, the main vortex may be right on the north coast, and paralleling the coast. There is enough of a bloom in convection to support the center being over water. The turn to the NE is imminent, IMO and it will be abrupt and not gradual. I base that on satellite evidence that the upper level winds even over central Cuba are sharply NE'ly. We'll see. |