vineyardsaker
(Weather Guru)
Tue Oct 30 2007 09:44 AM
Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track

I want to ask a very basic "newbie/ignoramus" question here: from the NHC projections I assume that there is some event (cold/dry front?) which is supposed to do two things tomorrow night:

1) weaken Noel back to a TS
2) push it in a Northeastern direction

How confident are the knowledgeable forum members that this will actually occur? How much uncertainty, if any, is there over this? What are the chances of this *not* happening (and, thus a CAT1 heading for Florida)?


Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 1920x1080+ resolution.
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center.