Halloween is going to be windy because of the pressure gradient, somewhat cool, with a chance of some rain (but not directly related to Noel). I'd go for it and just see how things are at that particular time.

I'm of the thought that storms don't have a mind of their own, they do surprise us, but it's because of us not understanding everything about them, and mostly the conditions around the storm.

For example, with Noel, there is little to no chance of it becoming a hurricane, the further west Noel winds up, the more unfavorable conditions get for development. When it does get back over water, conditions are going to likely keep it weak too.

Yesterday and the day before the hurricane center's track had a lot of doubt built into it, today not so much, so far it's been pretty good.