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x-91L/multi-merged being repackaged as 93L last night is actually looking sparky, for November. Given the pattern this season, I would find it hard to believe that the remainder of the year goes without at least one more named system, and while most models thus far scarcely give 93 a chance for anything more than a flash in the pan depression at best, and NHC itself has been speaking even less enthusiastically than that, the environment for 93L has improved rather significantly over the last 4 days, and for the better part of at least the past 24 hours or so it has had a reasonably well-formed surface cyclonic presence. Convection tonight is nothing at all to sneeze at, with some hints of subtle curved banding starting to take shape. I wouldn't put it past this one to earn a number, perhaps even a name, either side of Panama/Costa Rica. |