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Things really did wind down in November. We had Noel, a potent hybrid gale over the Azores, and the severed tail of Noel that attempted to pull something off over the course of several days, and at least on two occasions started to come pretty close.. And then, crickets. It's been a shear-lover's paradise. For the first time in weeks, the Atlantic this weekend does have a feature centered near 25N 55W that could get an Invest tag slapped on it. It has a long way to go to become tropical, however. Currently, the best convection is well-displaced to the east of the center. In fact, the center has been nearly void of deep convection. What this non-tropical low does have going for it is a relatively favorable shear environment, marginally-supportive SSTs (relative to it's cold core), a favorable water vapor environment, and perhaps some more time out over lukewarm waters without any imminent detrimental interruptions. Something a little interesting for the off-season, if nothing else. |