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A quick eyeball of "Olga remnants" using a shear scene type readily yields about a T1.5 tonight. Deep convection is blowing back up, fanned by those upper-level winds, making for a very interesting quasi-tropical/winter severe, mix. SPC has just issued a new Tornado Watch #739 until 6AM. Related Meso DISCUSSION...RAPID DEEPENING SURFACE AND ALOFT OF SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS TN/OH VALLEYS OVERNIGHT WITH VERY STRONG WIND FIELDS ROTATING ACROSS SERN STATES. WITH UNSEASONABLY MOIST AIR MASS STREAMING NEWD FROM ERN GULF AHEAD OF REMNANTS OF T.S. OLGA CONDITIONS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING TORNADIC SUPERCELLS OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF ONGOING SQUALL LINE. CURRENTLY PRIMARY SEVERE POTENTIAL ASSOCIATED WITH MESO LOW MOVING ENEWD ALONG WARM FRONT SRN GA INTO SRN SC. SEVERE THREAT WILL INCREASE SWD INTO NRN/CENTRAL FL AS SHEAR AND MOISTURE BECOME VERY FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF SQUALL LINE THAT CURRENTLY EXTENDS SSWWD INTO NERN GULF. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2229.html |