danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Sun Jan 13 2008 05:49 PM
Re: off-season stuff

This one should get an A+ for longevity. It's been hanging around for several days. Given lower latitude and 6 months ago, this would be a nerve wracking Low.
Large GOES EAST WV Enhancement

If one or any of the models are correct. We should have cyclogenesis in the Western GOM or Bay of Campeche' in the next 48-72 hours.

Current models are predicting a surface Low to form. Wide area of probability from BOC to Padre Isle,TX area.
(Personally I'm watching the Tampico,MX to Bay of Campeche area).

FL Panhandle and Upper Peninsula residents might want to keep a eye on the GOM this week as there are possibilities of T W O separate Low pressure area forming in the GOM.

Earlier model runs have the first Low tracking toward the FL Big Bend Area. With the subsequent Low tracking near/ over the Mouth of the Mississippi River toward the Western Panhandle.

Latest model run has some conflict with the run 24 hours earlier. Earlier run was indicating surface subfreezing temperatures north of the 31N latitude.
Present 00Z and 06Z runs aren't indicating subfreezing temperatures at all near the surface.



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