cieldumort
(Moderator)
Mon Apr 21 2008 12:08 AM
Re: Something Tropical Brewing near Trinidad?

Nothing much doing there now. Not only are SSTs still rather marginal for tropical development, but whatever lower-level reflection may have been ever-so-briefly trying to take hold is awash in a tempest of very strong upper-level winds. We're still a good 1-2 months before the MDR starts to become noticeably favorable for TC genesis. Until then, if anything were to pop, it would most likely be from a cut-off ULL that bores down to the surface and begins acquiring subtropical characteristics, and this usually takes a lot of time and even then conditions have to be so, so right.