Hello again everyone, Just like to chime in here with some general observations. Pattern has changed noticeably here, as my fellow Florida posters will agree. Heat and humidity are in full swing and after weeks of nothing but trace amounts of rainfall. Instability has returned with some serious afternoon thunderstorms. Could be a sign of our high pressure setting up camp further east for the summer. Analog years indicate dry mays produce more active years.

'Plotting 75 years worth of May rainfall data, Lushine found the probability of a hurricane striking South Florida almost tripled after a very dry May. Conversely, the chances of a hurricane striking South Florida after a wet May were three times less.'

I'm sure this article from 2005 has been linked in the past but it is interesting -

http://www.insurancejournal.com/news/southeast/2005/04/28/54367.htm?print=1