Not a bad call there what so ever, Mort. He is correct, it looks like the first TD of the East Pac Season is underway. Looks like that NNW change in heading did spirt some new life. If that heading reamins, TD 1 would likely head toward the central Nicaraguan Coast. It's a bad floodmaking machine for Central America and it's definately another kink in the chain, as those suspecting Caribbean development can be rest assured that development in the SW Caribbean can not share similar real estate with TD1. Likewise, TD 1 cannot be considered a candidate for making it to the Gulf or the Carribean either. This may greatly reduce the threat of a Caribbean storm for now. Later, remenant moisture from TD 1plus the wave that storm 7 mentioned yesterday may be something to watch in the western Caribean. To early to know for certain, but the weather remains somewhat complex, as does the model solutions...Stay tuned and happy tracking.