A bit of disagreement between the statistical/dynamical models and the global ensembles with TD 1-E, with the former insistent on a track northward into Central America and the latter insistent on a turn westward before reaching land. Given the coarse resolution and depiction of the storm in the ensembles, I'm more inclined to trust the other guidance. Don't get me wrong, the conditions for this to eventually turn west are there with a strong heat ridge over the south-central US and Mexico, but I'm not sold that this thing won't end up inland and dissipated before that occurs.

And, for those interested, my model page is running four times per day with all of the latest guidance. Once we get into Atlantic season and have storms in this basin, they'll be up on the main page too.

Regardless of the track, as HF alluded to, the conditions which led to this development aren't going away in the near future. The Roundy OLR-based scheme implies favorable genesis conditions will slide somewhat west into the E. Pacific, while the GFS suggests they will remain in about the same location. Equal odds on either for now.