danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Thu May 29 2008 04:01 AM
Re: TD 01E

Looks like TD 1E is going to be around a while. In one shape or the other. I just looked at the 18Z 850mb Vorticity loop. The system or vortice remnant is forecast to move near or over the FL Penininsula arounf June 6th. Moving from SW to NE exit near Jacksonville and then cross land again near Savannah,Ga / Charleston,S.C.
From there it meaders over to Northern AL, MS and LA before a passing front pushes it south to the GOM near Terrebone Bay,LA on June13th.

Keep in mind this is a forecast (scenario) that is nearing 12 hours old and the system wasn't a tropical disturbance at the time of the data run.

It is interesting that Most of the locations the Vortice remnants were forecast to pass over are the drought stricken area of the above mentioned states. Well, most of them.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/18/85v_su_loop.shtml

edit: This is the 2008 News Talkback Forum and we are discussiong an Eastern Pacific system due to the persistant Model runs that bring the system northward over the next 10-14 days. Possibly (probably) into the Gulf of Mexico- GOM next week. ~danielw



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