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As Clark also reminds us, somewhat similar conditions will remain in the Eastern Pacific and/or Central America for some time being. One additional evolution I will be watching is how this Eastern Pacific Depression injects heat and moisture into the atmosphere. It's unquastionable that as this monsoon trough, which has morphed from into a Tropical Depression, has provided a vast expansion of moisture into the sw and western Caribbean. Likewise, the heat expelled from the affiliated trough, now newly evolving tropical depression has pumped up the ridge into the Caribbean. Prior to this deveolpment, the area was highly unfavorable and loaded with westerlies, now the area is moving into neutral ground (although not totally ideal). If TD 1 does go inland and dissipates, the moisture and the influance may be a development enhancer for any kind of kick that comes along in the Caribbean...Particularly if a cutoff low does evolve in the western GoMex. Once again, to many questions...to few reliable answers to provide based on the complexities. More to know in 48 or so hours. |