If I'm not mistaken the small remaining vortex from Alma is now seen just off the north coast of Honduras.
This could explain the flair up of convection to the NE of that point. I believe the bulk of what is in the Carribean is mid level, and now that a low level is there things may congeal a bit. The forecast for the remnants of Alma is NNW to NW, which would take it back on to land fairly soon so major development, if any at all would be unexpected, I think. But if that is the vortex over water, things will change in the next few hours and some probable solution begin to emerge.