Very murky picture to even try to define.

Rules say when a storm crosses over it gets a new name so it can't be Alma2 the sequel but Arthur.
That may be the only clear cut thing known for sure right now.

If it gets named and doesn't disolve and reform again somewhere else.

Water Vapor shows movement north a bit blocked despite the fact that it doesn't really seem to want to move west for now or just possibly bobble around a bit stationary until a doorway more northerly (or NNW) opens up. Though easy money says it gets into the BOC this time of year.

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/sat.irW1_an.gif

Great view of just how hard it is for the NHC or anyone to be sure what this system is going to do if anything.

Perhaps it is not as important where it came from as much as where it is going?