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Seems to me if Arthur was the type of guy who left with the girl who brought her then he will at some point go northwards at some point as the GFS had maintained that eventual ending though not sure how Arthur gets back to water in the short term. The high in the GOM is currently building down towards the BOC so I don't see how that scenario of Arthur doing the old infamous BOC track for early storms. GFDL and GFS both have Arthur moving very slowly, crawling so if part of it hangs around for the next impulse that could lift it.. a lot of "ifs" and "maybes" if you ask me. Interesting to see what if anything happens. Either way we have used up one name before June even happened. Wasn't too soon this year. Question? Could moisture flying off the top of Arthur help to erode the strong high to it's north or northeast a bit? It has always been a large area of moisture. Unlike the small storms of last year may favor larger, wetter storms. |