dem05
(User)
Sun Jun 01 2008 08:50 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Starts 2008 Atlantic Season

Arthur continues to show hints of a re-formation in the Gulf of Hondoras (Western Caribbean) this morning. At this time, Arthur's surface circulation over the Yucatan is still trackable on the shortwave...but it is very weak and diffuse. Mean time, the banding feature over the Gulf of Hondoras that was producing the tropical storm force winds no longer appears as a banding like feature. In itself, the area has taken on the appearance of a mid-level rotation with some of it's own banding. That said, it would not be a surprise to see Arthur re-form eastward over the extreme western Caribbean. This is were the energy has remained within Arthur and the overall circulation of this ongoing trough. Also, the evolution of a small and very weak cut off low may be trying to evolve north of the Yucatan Penninsula per the Water Vapor. Mean time, Vapor also shows that if Arthur does maintain himself and makes it to the Bay of Campeechee, the air over there is very dry. Looks like that would not bode well for re-development. Today will be an interesting day if Arthur does indeed re-form in the Gulf of Hondoras (Western Caribbean).

I will let you judge for yourself:

Link (Rainbow): http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-rb.html
Link (Shortwave): http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html
Link (Water Vapor): http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-wv.html



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