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Just a post 5AM Advisory update and a fun point of conversation: Per the Advisory, the NHC is still tracking the diffuse center of Arthur over the Yucatan and maintaining him as a tropical stom due to the weather in the Gulf of Hondoras. Per yesterday's discussion on the previous forum thread, many believed that Alma's mid level rotation made it to the GOH and was at least partly responsible for spawning Arthur. Likewise, some may contend that as the surface center of our current "Arthur" has moved inland, the mid level center stayed behind in the GOH as a component of the larger trough system. As we discussed, naming convention rules state that due to the loss of a surface ciculation of Alma over Central America, the system in the Western Caribbean was definately Arthur. If the NHC does track the surface rotation of Arthur to spindown over Mexico, and the banding over the GOH does evolve into a new low level vorticity...I wonder how this naming convention would apply. Apparently, Arthur is being maintained as a tropical storm due to this GOH weather (which may be enough to to consider it a relocation if a new surface center does evolve in the Gulf of Hondoras). Likewise, if the surface center is tracked to dissapation and a new center forms in the GOH, I wonder if the NHC would be forced to move onto the letter B based on their established naming rules. Interesting... |