i'm not the first person to mention it by far, but the gfs is still consistently (albeit in different ways) trying to take something up from the general location of the yucatan in about a week. the disturbed weather currently there just sort of persists, though i don't expect the nhc will be issuing many more advisories on arthur. at the outer ranges of their runs several of the other globals are hinting that the disturbed weather will be there at least... whether on the caribbean side or the campeche side. or maybe the pacific side? expect it's a pattern-feedback sort of thing... synoptically something wants to be there, so the models are picking it up. noteworthy that they aren't doing a whole lot as far as strength goes.
check out the gfdl and cmc if you want the zanier solutions to goggle at. sort of the humor corner for now, but every now and then those oddball solutions work out.
mostly fun for now... cause you can't expect anything really fearsome this time of year. ghastly exceptions like audrey notwithstanding... it's just june.
HF 0208z02june