The NHC has stated this whole conglomeration across Mexico and back out into the E. Pac. is a trough, and the latest visible is indicating a new spin in the E. Pac. Looks a lot like Alma did just before she was officially designated an investigation area.
I personally don't see the W. Carribean throwing a low out toward the U. S. from this, especially if another LLC develops in E.Pac. As for the CMC the closed low it presents spawns from a weakness in the Bahamas, which as of now is not evident. So far it stands alone.