craigm
(Storm Tracker)
Mon Jun 02 2008 04:32 PM
Re: water vapor loop

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From what I see on the GFS both 00Z and 600Z and the CMC 00Z shows nothing close the the USA. Nor does the other model at this time.




CMC has a closed low showing up about 6 days out. GFS doesn't. Keep in mind it's the CMC

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/CMCTROPATL_0z/cmc144.html




Re check the CMC graph which doesn show it.


[url=http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/cmc/fcst/index.html]




O.S. This is bordering on chat so this will be my last post regarding this before I PM.
I pulled this excerpt off the link you provided which may explain why it's not showing up. Great link by the way.

'Why aren't all the closed SLP minima on the model analyses available for phase diagram analysis?
A cyclone will not be analyzed on the phase diagrams if: 1) the cyclone is currently too close to the edge of the model domain, 2) the cyclone does not last for 24h, or 3) the cyclone has a minimum SLP > 1018mb'



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